2024 Report

Safety and threats

Feelings of safety

Australians’ sense of safety, which reached a record high in 2010, was deeply shaken at the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020, and again following Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Since then, overall feelings of safety have only partially recovered, with six in ten Australians (62%) in 2024 saying they feel either ‘safe’ or ‘very safe’. This remains steady from last year, but 30 points below the high watermark of 2010 (92%).

It is notable that the proportion of people feeling ‘very safe’ has remained consistently very low since 2020. Today, barely any (5%) say they feel ‘very safe’, as compared to 2010, when four in ten Australians (42%) felt this way.

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Feelings of safety

Now about world events, how safe do you feel?

  1. 0%
  2. 25%
  3. 50%
  4. 75%
  5. 100%
2005
30
61
91
2006
30
56
86
2007
40
50
90
2008
34
57
91
2009
44
46
90
2010
42
50
92
2015
24
56
80
2017
20
59
79
2018
18
60
78
2020
4
46
50
2021
6
64
70
2022
6
47
53
2023
6
57
63
2024
5
57
62

Indicates change in mode: see 2024 Methodology.

Threats to Australia’s vital interests

Cyberattacks from other countries remain the leading threat to Australia, according to Australians asked about a range of possible ‘threats to the vital interests of Australia in the next ten years’. Seven in ten Australians (70%) see cyberattacks from other countries as a ‘critical threat’, steady from 2023, and a clear 11-point lead over the next highest ranked threat — a military conflict between the United States and China over Taiwan (59%).

Australians are also seized of the potential for a military conflict in the South China Sea, with 57% rating it a critical threat, level with those who say the same of climate change (which remains steady since 2020). Potential conflicts over Taiwan (59%) and the South China Sea (57%) loom larger as critical threats than active, but more distant, conflicts in Ukraine (46%) or the Middle East (41%).

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Threats to Australia’s vital interests

Here is a list of possible threats to the vital interests of Australia in the next ten years. For each one, please select whether you see this as a critical threat, an important but not critical threat, or not an important threat at all.

  1. 0%
  2. 25%
  3. 50%
  4. 75%
  5. 100%
Cyberattacks from other countries
70
27
A military conflict between the United States and China over Taiwan
59
35
5
Military conflict in South China Sea
57
37
5
Climate change
57
29
14
North Korea's nuclear program
56
35
8
A severe downturn in the global economy
54
43
3
Foreign interference in Australian politics
53
42
5
The rise of authoritarian systems of government around the world
51
43
6
International terrorism
50
44
6
The spread of infectious diseases internationally
50
44
6
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine
46
44
9
Political instability in the United States
41
51
8
Conflict in the Middle East
41
50
8

From 2006–2009, this question asked about ‘global warming’ rather than ‘climate change’. In 2020, this question asked about ‘novel coronavirus (Covid-19) and other potential epidemics’ rather than ‘the spread of infectious diseases internationally’. In 2021–2023, it asked about ‘Covid-19 and other potential epidemics’.

With the 2024 US presidential election approaching, concern about the impact of ‘political instability in the United States’ on Australia rose by nine points to 41%. However, together with conflict in the Middle East, this was the lowest ranked threat on the list.

While anxieties about Covid-19 have steadily receded, concern about the spread of infectious diseases has not. Half the population (50%) see ‘the spread of infectious diseases internationally’ as a critical threat, 20 points higher than threat perceptions of ‘Covid-19 and other potential epidemics’ (30%) last year. Concern about the threats of ‘foreign interference in Australian politics’ (53%) and ‘the rise of authoritarianism around the world’ (51%) both held steady.


Security and defence