China as a military threat

Do you think it is likely or unlikely that China will become a military threat to Australia in the next 20 years?

  1. 0%
  2. 20%
  3. 40%
  4. 60%
  5. 80%
2009
15
26
41
2010
19
27
46
2011
18
26
44
2012
14
26
40
2013
16
25
41
2014
19
29
48
2015
14
25
39
2017
15
31
46
2018
14
31
45
2022
32
43
75
2023
29
46
75
2024
25
46
71

Indicates change in mode: see 2024 Methodology.

  • Very likely
  • Somewhat likely
Total
All groups